College Football Week 14 Picks and Predictions
01 Dec
NCAAF
Alex Buck
Alex Buck makes his college football picks and predictions for Week 14, with six best bets for Saturday's NCAA championship games.

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It’s officially Championship weekend in the college football world. The SEC, BIG 10, PAC 12 and every other conference champion will be decided over the course of the weekend, with seven games taking place on Friday and Saturday night combined.

The Georgia Bulldogs are heavy favorites for the SEC title against LSU, while the Big 12 matchup between TCU and Kansas State and Pac 12 game between USC and Utah are estimated to be far closer battles for Championship victory.

Best College Football Bets Week 14: Picks, Predictions & Schedules

Big 12 Championship Game – Kansas State @ TCU

College Football Schedule Week 14
Kansas State Wildcats (9-3) vs TCU Horned Frogs (12-0)
Date: 3rd December 2022
Time: 12:00pm. EST
Venue: AT&T Stadium - Arlington, Texas
TV Channel: ABC
Live Stream: Fubo TV
Live Radio: SiriusXM

TCU will face the Kansas State Wildcats in the Big 12 Championship at the home of the Dallas Cowboys, AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. The Horned Frogs fought off a couple of tough opponents down the stretch to hold onto their unbeaten record, finishing the season 12-0.

TCU faced tough encounters with the Texas Longhorns, who held the Horned Frogs to their lowest scoring total of the season. The defense had to step up in that game and help to drive the Frogs to a 17-10 win. Things got even closer the following week when they traveled to Baylor, down three with seconds left in the game. TCU ran out the field goal unit with the clock ticking down and no timeouts, and kicker Griffin Kell nailed the kick to give them their 11th straight win of the season.

The Big 12 Championship game is going to be crucial for quarterback Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs. They currently sit in third place in the College Football Playoff rankings, while both Ohio State and Alabama sit on the outside looking in. Any kind of slip up from the Frogs could cost them their place in the final four.

Kansas State is more than capable of spoiling that party, and have been in fine form in recent weeks. Since the loss to the Texas Longhorns, the Wildcats have dominated three opponents in a row, including a 31-3 win over the Baylor Bears, who very nearly beat TCU.

Kansas State vs TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Moneyline - College Football Odds Week 14

Moneyline: Kansas State Wildcats +110, TCU Horned Frogs -130

Spread: Kansas State Wildcats +2.5 (-110), TCU Horned Frogs -2.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 61.5 points

Kansas State vs TCU Predictions and Pick

Credit to head coach Sonny Dykes for what he’s been able to achieve in his first season in charge at TCU. Dykes has done a phenomenal job, as has quarterback Max Duggan, who started the season as the backup having lost the starting role last year. Duggan has done an incredible job this season, throwing 29 touchdowns and just three interceptions, etching his name into the Horned Frogs history books with a perfect season.

These two sides met in Week 8 with TCU winning 38-28, but the game was far closer on the day than the final score line might suggest. Pair that with Kansas State’s recent form, and the Wildcats prove to be a genuine threat to end the Horned Frogs Cinderella season.

Quarterback Will Howard will start for the Wildcats, and this time it won’t be his first action of the season. That said, I can’t bet against Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs now. TCU have been an incredible bet all season, currently 9-2-1 against the spread. The line is an easy pick in my mind, and that’s no disrespect to Kansas State, just a testament to the great season the Horned Frogs have had. I’m backing them to overcome this final hurdle on their way to a well-earned college football playoff game.

The Pick: TCU -2.5 (-110)

Kansas State is a perfectly even 6-6 covering overs this season, which is never fun when making a selection. Their defensive performance against Baylor, holding the Bears to just three points, showed what the Wildcats are capable of when they’re in fine form. That said, in the two games that followed they allowed 31 points against West Virginia and 27 points against Kansas, neither of which compare to the scoring capabilities of TCU.

I’ll back the over. The game should be an exciting spectacle and one that results in plenty of points. Like I said, Max Duggan and the Horned Frogs have been great to us so far this season, so why stop now?

The Pick: Over 61.5 Points

Pac-12 Championship Game –Utah @ USC

College Football Schedule Week 14
Utah Utes (9-3) vs USC Trojans (11-1)
Date: 2rd December 2022
Time: 8:00pm. EST
Venue: Allegiant Stadium - Las Vegas, Nevada
TV Channel: FOX
Live Stream: Fubo TV
Live Radio: SiriusXM

The Pac-12 Championship game in Vegas marks a rematch for these two teams following an exciting spectacle back in Week 7. Utah went into that match up as a 3.5-point underdog and ended up winning 43-42 at home.

The Trojans will be seeking revenge for their only loss of the season, especially considering their place in the college football playoff. USC have fought to an 11-1 record since the loss to Utah and now find themselves ranked fourth with one game to go before the final playoff picture is decided. Ohio State is breathing down their necks waiting for any kind of slip up and, if the Trojans lose to Utah again, they will almost certainly find themselves on the outside.

Utah vs USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Moneyline - College Football Odds Week 14

Moneyline: Utah Utes +120, USC Trojans -140

Spread: Utah Utes +1.5 (-110), USC Trojans -1.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 67.5 points

Utah vs USC Predictions and Pick

The Trojans are the third-highest scoring team in all of college football this season and have been unstoppable in the five games since the Utah loss. USC are averaging 42.5 points per game, and quarterback Caleb Williams has proven to be one of college football's most impressive talents. Williams has thrown 34 touchdowns and just three interceptions on the year, while rushing for another 10 touchdowns on the ground.

Utah’s defense is not to be overlooked. The Utes have allowed 21 points or less in each game since the shootout with the Trojans, but that’s the concern. They’ve been able to slow down offenses all season, but not Caleb Williams and USC. Williams threw five touchdowns on the Utes defense earlier this season and forced a shootout.

I like the Trojans in this one. Utah is a great team, but this USC team has earned their way to a playoff berth and nothing is stopping them now. I’ll take the USC moneyline.

The Pick: USC Moneyline -140

It almost feels like a trap to want to bet the over on this game. These two teams scored 85 points between them in their matchup earlier this season. Cameron Rising and Caleb Williams had almost 800 passing yards between them, contributing to seven passing touchdowns in total.

My one concern is a change of game plan from either team to allow the opposition offense less time on the ball. But these teams just don’t play that way. They’re explosive, especially the Trojans.

It just feels too good to be true, but I love the over. Have to go with my gut here and anticipate another shootout between two extremely entertaining teams in the Pac-12.

The Pick: Over 67.5 Points

SEC Championship Game – LSU @ Georgia Bulldogs

College Football Season 2022 SEC Championship Game
LSU Tigers (9-3) vs Georgia Bulldogs (12-0)
Date: 3rd December 2022
Time: 4:00pm. EST
Venue: Mercedez Benz Stadium - Atlanta, Georgia
TV Channel: CBS
Live Stream: Fubo TV, Paramount+
Live Radio: SiriusXM

The LSU Tigers battled their way into the SEC Championship where they’ll face the unbeaten Georgia Bulldogs in Atlanta. The Tigers suffered an embarrassing loss to Texas A&M and their freshman quarterback in the final game of the college football season. The loss ended any shot at a playoff berth they might have had. Aggies running back Devon Achane ran all over the Tigers defense, rushing for 215 yards.

Georgia will smell blood in the water following that poor LSU performance, and I can’t help but feel like it also contributes to the 17.5-point spread ahead of the SEC Championship game. The Bulldogs are undefeated and likely a lock for a playoff spot, but they’ve faced a couple of scares of their own this season.

Kirby Smart's side almost left it too late against Missouri earlier this season, and did the same thing again against Kentucky just a couple of weeks ago, eventually winning the game 16-6. On the plus side, the defense has really shown up when the team has needed them most this season, which is always a critical factor for a playoff team.

LSU vs Georgia Bulldogs Odds, Spread, Over/Under, Moneyline - College Football Odds Week 14

Moneyline: Georgia Bulldogs -900, LSU Tigers +600

Spread: Georgia Bulldogs -17.5 (-110), LSU Tigers +17.5 (-110)

Total: Over/Under 50.5 points

LSU vs Georgia Bulldogs Predictions and Pick

LSU’s loss to the Aggies gives me the impression that the team was already focused on the Georgia game, perhaps a little earlier than they should have been. The Tigers overlooked Texas A&M and paid the price for it.

However, losing that game will quickly be forgotten if they can pull off the upset against the Bulldogs. LSU is a resurging program, with Brian Kelly doing a good job in his first year in charge but, to me, this feels like too big of a challenge too soon. I do respect their abilities enough to challenge the Bulldogs, but not to win the game. LSU is 4-1 against the spread in games where they’ve been the underdog this season, including their only double-digit underdog outing against Alabama, where they won the game.

Georgia may be a different beast, but LSU won’t want to get blown out here.

The Pick: LSU +17.5 (-110)

The blueprint is there for the Tigers to slow down Georgia’s offense. Kentucky did a great job of that just two weekends ago, but LSU doesn't have the defensive front to stop the run. They crumbled against Texas A&M and the Bulldogs are just as much of a running threat. If LSU is going to stay in this game it’s going to be on the offense scoring points, so I’ll back the over with the Tigers throwing everything they can at the wall late in the game.

Georgia has been a poor performer for overs this season, with a 4-7-1 record to date, but LSU’s defensive performance against Texas A&M tells me there's enough points in this game to back the 50.5-point total.

The Pick: Over 50.5 Points