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All we can reasonably ascertain about the NBA playoffs is that the Toronto Raptors are cooked after Joel Embiid shot them down in overtime last night. Of the 143 teams that have been down 0-3 in the playoffs in NAB history, none have come back to win a series.

That series should wrap up Saturday. But “should” is the operative word. These are strange days, and we should remind everyone that the 2002 Portland Trail Blazers, 1994 Denver Nuggets and 1951 New York Knicks fell behind 0-3 and then won the next three games to force a Game 7 before losing that series-deciding game.

We do not expect that to happen with the way the Sixers have been playing and because Embiid probably wants to take out the Raptors with Drake in attendance in Toronto, so let’s just turn our attention to tonight’s tripleheader because that is where there’s money to be won if we can predict the somewhat unpredictable. And in that sentence, “somewhat” is the operative word.

No team is under more pressure to win than the Denver Nuggets, whose fans actually get to watch the game tonight because it is being broadcast by TNT. The Nuggets have had their games pulled from cable television because of a dispute between the Altitude Network and Comcast cable, which has undoubtedly led to more cord-cutting and Hulu subscribing in Colorado than anywhere else.

The Nuggets are in the same 0-2 hole as the Nets and Hawks, and Denver – along with Brooklyn and Atlanta – needs to capture Game 3 at home in order to avoid becoming the Mountain Time Zone version of the Raptors. And since they have the MVP favorite in Nikola Jokic playing against undersized Draymond Green, it is time to expect especially big things from the NBA’s best big man, no? Well, more on that below, but Green is clearly in Jokic’s head.

Tonight’s tripleheader begins with Memphis at Minnesota on TNT. Tipoff of the Mavericks-Jazz game is 90 minutes later on NBA-TV, and the Golden State-Denver tilt is the nightcap, also on TNT. If you want to make a wager that will definitely hit, bet one of your buddies that Shaquille O’Neal will be all over Jokic before the game and at halftime. It’s a big man thing.

Let’s break down this tripleheader…

Memphis (-1.5) at Minnesota: Um, didn’t the Grizzlies just win by 28? Well, this seems like a good time to remind everyone that the bookmakers set lines in order to get equal action on both teams. It is how they make their money. The referees called 20 fouls in the first quarter of Game 2 to keep these two teams from developing any sort of offensive rhythm, and both coaches used their benches more extensively that what we have seen in any of the eight first-round series. The Grizzlies turned it into a runaway in the second and third quarters, and Ja Morant finished just one rebound shy of a triple-double, something he has done only four times during his three-year career (he is +1000 to do it tonight, and we would counsel staying away from that).

Memphis (115.6 ppg) and Minnesota (116 ppg) were the NBA’s two highest-scoring teams in the regular season, and tonight’s over/under of 236.5 is a point-and-a-half lower than Game 1, which was eclipsed as the teams combined for 247 points. The O/U is the highest on the board tonight by a whopping 12.5 points, and pardon us for being cautious, but again we counsel laying off that one.

What we expect to see is both teams trying to one-up the other from 3-point range, but how accurate they will be – and whether that will lead to the over hitting – is too tough to call. But individually, it is reasonable to expect that Anthony Edwards (21 attempts in Games 1 and 2) will go over 3.5 3-pointers made (+125) and D’Angelo Russell (19-for-41 on 3s in four regular season games vs. Memphis) will go over 2.5 3s made (+140). So that is here we start building tonight’s parlay. No other individual statistical over/unders leap out at us, so let’s keep building that parlay card off the second game.

Dallas (+6.5) at Utah: Luka Doncic has been upgraded from doubtful to questionable, but the Mavs will be extremely cautious about taking the risk that he will aggravate his strained calf muscle despite the fact that he went through a full practice Wednesday. That level of uncertainty makes this game an especially difficult one to handicap, but let’s not forget that the Mavs evened the series in Game 2 without their Slovenian superstar, so the size of this line looks too high – especially when considering that the Jazz were just 34-47-3 against the spread, better than only three other teams, Washington, Brooklyn and Portland.

Jalen Brunson (six 3s and 41 points) and Maxi Kleber (eight 3s) were spectacular in Game 2, and Dorian Finney-Smith and Reggie Bullock each added three 3s as the Mavs made 22 of them. Whether or not Doncic plays, we should expect coach Jason Kidd to tell the Mavs to keep hoisting up shots from behind the 3-point line, which should result in the teams surpassing the low over/under line of 210.5, especially if Mike Conley shows a pulse and avoids a second straight goose egg. Hard to believe the guy was the NBA’s highest-paid player just three years ago.

We also like the following player props: Conley under 13.5 points (-120) and Royce O’Neale over 4.5 rebounds (-125). As a side bet from your parlay, consider going with Rudy Gobert “no” on getting a double-double (+215). He has failed to score 10 or more points in the first two games.

Golden State (-2) at Denver: The Nuggets were just 2-5-0 against the spread as a home underdog, which fans in Denver are not going to want to read. They are learning the same thing that playoff opponents of the Warriors learned for five years running when Steve Kerr’s team was going to the NBA Finals all those years: The Dubs have too much experience, too many shooters and too good of a coach to allow the Nuggets have all that much of a fighting chance.

Jokic has had double-doubles in each of the first two games but has come nowhere near a triple-double, yet his triple-double prop line is listed at +285. Stay away from that one, y’all, and if you really need action on someone having a TD, go with Draymond at the better price of +1000 (but keep it off your parlay card). Green last had a triple-double way back on Dec. 20, his only one of the season.

Because Steph Curry has been coming off the bench the past two games and no one is quite certain whether Kerr will have him do that again, there were no Curry prop bets on the board this morning. But here is something (and again, this is not to be put on your parlay card but played separately). Andrew Wiggins had nine rebounds in Game 1 and eight in Game 2, and he is on the board tonight at +1100 to record a double-double. He has been playing an average of 30 minutes in the first two games, both blowouts, and will get a bunch more minutes if this is a close game, which is what the oddsmakers are predicting. So make that “yes” your side bet, keep an eye out for Curry’s 3-pointers made line (he is 8-for-16 in the series) and go over if it is 3.5 or lower. Jokic is not getting a lot of help, and Green has gotten into his head, which is a Draymond specialty.

And as far as the parlay card we have been touting, go with over 223 (-110) because Denver was 5-2-0 on over/unders as a home ‘dog. We also like Poole over 2.5 3-pointers (-165). The Wiggins double-double wager may be the best big payoff opportunity on the board in this one, which almost certainly will be closer than Games 1 and 2, which the Warriors won by 16 and 20 points.