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Draymond Green is coming off what he called the worst game of his career. He has 15 fouls and 15 points in the NBA Finals, and that underperformance is a big reason why the Golden State Warriors are down 2-1 against the Boston Celtics heading into Game 4 on Friday night.

So the big question is: more of the same?

Or do we see the Draymond Green who is the key third wheel for the Warriors, the guy who supplements Steph Curry and Klay Thompson with so much productivity on both ends of the floor that Golden State actually has a so-called Big Three?

If it all can be summed up one word, that word might be “aggression,” as suggested to Green at practice Thursday. Can Green be aggressive to the point of increased productivity as he gets bombarded by the taunts of the Boston fans.

“I think I can. I will. I have to be more aggressive on both sides of the ball, not just defense or offense. I think the game ties together, all goes hand-in-hand. When you're flowing on one side, can you flow on the other,” Green said after practice Thursday.

“We are a much better team when I'm aggressive offensively, so I have to be that for this team. I've always prided myself on giving the team what it needs in order to win. I think this team will need more of that for us to win, so I have to be better on that side, for sure.”

The team that has won Game 3 in a series tied 1-1 has gone on to win the championship 82.1 per cent of the time (32-7), so history is certainly on the side of Boston. The price on the Celtics winning the series 4-1 is +300, the same price as the Warriors in 7. The longest odds for exact series score are Golden State in 6 at +850, and that would take four consecutive wins, something the Dubs have not done in the playoffs since the 2018 NBA Finals against Cleveland.

The expectation here is that Golden State is going to come out in Game 4 with a determination we have not yet seen from them in this postseason (and yes, that includes the first quarter of Game 1 and the third quarter of Game 2), in which they have been leading every series they have played in. The Warriors are getting four points tonight, but we like the money line at +145 to start off your parlay card.

Why? Because teams that go up 3-1 in the NBA finals go on to win the series 97.2 per cent of the time (35-1). The Warriors have an appreciation for history and will know about that percentage, and coach Steve Kerr will be on the spot tonight to figure out which rotations are going to allow for maximum offensive production even if Curry’s left foot hampers him in regards to his playing time.

Although Curry said he is certain to play, an injury is an injury, and a version of Curry that is less than 100 per cent means a couple of other guys are going to be needed to step up. Klay Thompson did that in Game 3, and Otto Porter is a candidate to do it in Game 4, in part because he is shooting a nutso 7-for-9, all on 3-pointers, and also is a capable defender who can match up on either Jaylen Brown or Jayson Tatum.

So with those two, we like Thompson to go for 30-plus points (+750), and we like Porter to go over 1.5 3-pointers (+190). That gives us three legs of the parlay, and we need two more.

Which brings us back to Draymond. His Game 3 line of two points, three assists and four rebounds represented his worst statistical performance in those three categories combined in five months. Back on Jan. 5 at Dallas, his points (2), assists (4) and rebounds (3) added to fewer than 10, and every game since then has been a double-digit total in those three categories combined.

So tonight, with his points + rebounds + assists line at 20.5, we think that is just about spot on. But Green spoke a bunch about being a better defender, too, and that often is quantified in steals and blocks. So take Green over 2.5 steals and blocks (+140) for leg four of your parlay.

As for the fifth leg, we have to get that from someone one the Celtics, and one of the players we are most impressed with is Jaylen Brown, especially after his prolific first quarter in Game 3 when he stepped up his game as much as he had at any time in the postseason.

But before we get to that fifth leg, we should note that Betway has a prop of Brown and Thompson both scoring 10 or more points in the first quarter at +2200, and we believe that is worth a flyer. As we have mentioned before, any time you can find a wager in a single game with a payoff of something like +2200, you have to weigh whether it is crazy unlikely. And with Curry somewhat questionable and Kerr eager to get a second straight good game out of Thompson, that one seems quite possible.

But back to the fifth leg.

Robert Williams is establishing what an intrinsic part of the Celtics’ success he can be, and his eight points, 10 rebounds, four blocks and three steals made him the biggest contributor who did not get the headlines after Game 3.

Tonight, his points and rebounds combined line is 13.5, which he should surpass (-105). So that is leg five, and we are going to go out on a limb (pun intended) and recommend a sixth leg, which is Marcus Smart over 1.5 steals (+130).

This is a crucial game for both teams, but mostly so for the Dubs. We expect them to have this thing at 2-2 by the time it resumes Monday night for Game 5.

Curry’s health is a crucial question, but the Dubs can still win if he is at somewhere around 80 per cent. It is just a matter of where the extra production will come from, along with being able to keep one of Boston’s big three – Tatum, Brown and Marcus Smart, below 20 points.

It will not be easy, but we like the Dubs to come through. Experience is everything at this stage, and we are not yet at the midpoint yet. Keep that in mind as this series continues and the pressure grows even more.