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Every bone in your body tells you a sweep is what is going to happen in these NBA Finals. The Denver Nuggets are deeper, better rested, have no injuries, and hold home court advantage. So, yeah, those bones are making some sense.

But a cautionary note: Every bookmaker out there listed the Boston Celtics as a prohibitive favorite last Monday for Game 7, convinced that they were going to become the first team in NBA history to successfully come back from an 0-3 deficit and win Games 4, 5, 6 and 7. And then Jayson Tatum turned his ankle on the first play of Game 7, and fans in Boston are now lamenting the fact that their Red Sox are sitting in last place in the AL East despite being two games over .500.

Yes, sports can be cruel. And gambling can be cruel if you fall too much in love with something that happened in the past. Which leads us to remind you of the following: The Miami Heat lost by 16 in Game 2 of the first round against Milwaukee, lost by 6 and 9 in two road games at Madison Square Garden in the second round, and lost by 17, 13 and 1 in Games 4, 5 and 6 against Boston.

Yet they are still standing.

And when you make it this deep in the NBA playoffs, you do not give up and say “They are just too much better than us. Let’s make vacation plans for June 10, the morning after Game 4.”

Instead, if you are Erik Spoelstra and Pat Riley and the Miami Heat braintrust, you instead say: “Who is going to step up? And who is going to sit down?” And then you peruse a roster that includes underperforming Max Strus, mothballed Kevin Love, NBA Finals veteran Kyle Lowry and former Division II Player of the Year Haywood Highsmith, and you start considering changes. And you tell yourself: “That was only one game. We have six left. Not three.”

Heat vs Nuggets Game 2 Odds, Spread, Moneyline, Over/Under – NBA Playoffs Betting Lines 6/4

Moneyline: Denver Nuggets (-400), Miami Heat (+310)
Spread: Denver Nuggets -8.5 (-115), Miami Heat +8.5 (+105)
Total: Over/Under 214.5 points

Best NBA Same-Game Parlay Picks Sunday for Heat vs Nuggets Game 2: 3-Leg Parlay Picks (+3000)

Many of the above-mentioned Heat players who are options in Game 2 are not yet on the board, nor is Tyler Herro, who is recovering from a broken hand and is a “possibility” for Game 2 but more likely to return in Game 3, according to ESPN’s Adrian Wojnarowski.

That limits their availability in same-game parlays, but it does not remove or eliminate the preponderance of trends that both teams have shown throughout the postseason. So we recommend playing the picks we are touting below, then making a subsequent wager Sunday evening that includes Highsmith going over whatever numbers are posted. Whenever Spoelstra has used him, he has performed.

Jimmy Butler

We can be 99.9 percent certain that Jimmy Butler is not going to throw out another 13-point stinker in which he attempts only 14 shots. In Round 3 against Boston, he took 10 shots in Game 5 and then attempted 49 in the next two games combined. In Round 2 against New York, he took 12 shots in Game 4 and then had 22 in Game 5. In Round 1 against the Bucks, he took 12 shots in Game 2 and then closed the series with scoring outputs of 30, 56 and 42.

So we start out parlay with the belief that his bounce-back ability will once again be on display. Big time.

Leg-1 SGP Pick: Jimmy Butler to score 35+ points: (+525).

Jamal Murray

The Nuggets have two point guards, but Ish Smith only appears during garbage time. Murray logged 44 minutes in Game 1 and had a double-double of 26 points and 10 assists, and he is not exactly getting worn out defending Gabe Vincent. He scored at least 30 points three times in the Western Conference finals against the Lakers, and he had a double-double that included 10 rebounds in Game 2 of that series. Denver’s 103 points in Game 1 was the lowest total by the Nuggets since Game 5 against Phoenix when they had 97, and they have not had fewer than 104 in a victory since Jan. 24 against New Orleans. So we not only have to look at Game 1 as an outlier from an offensive production standpoint, but we also have to assume that the same Murray we saw against the Lakers will make a reappearance in Game 2 against the Heat. A heat check (pardon the expression) will be whether Murray leads the offense at the start of Game 2 in the same way that Aaron Gordon did Thursday night. We believe that is a likelihood.

Leg-2 SGP Pick: Jamal Murray to double-double (+330)

Leg-3 SGP Pick: Murray to score 30+ points (+175)

Odds subject to change*

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